Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 3.163735 3.342031 3.531300 3.748274 3.991528 4.257514 4.572696
2025-08-31 2.888845 3.129612 3.398011 3.723095 4.111467 4.567813 5.156233
2025-09-07 2.657400 2.931170 3.247434 3.646858 4.148896 4.775837 5.648681
2025-09-14 2.469666 2.761455 3.107896 3.560221 4.153108 4.933649 6.100163
2025-09-21 2.313099 2.613806 2.978582 3.467752 4.131677 5.046634 6.505885
2025-09-28 2.223553 2.539668 2.931680 3.472363 4.234456 5.340309 7.246870
2025-10-05 2.210851 2.558658 3.001985 3.635871 4.575321 6.040508 8.883167
2025-10-12 2.153620 2.515371 2.985478 3.675386 4.737061 6.489994 10.256686
2025-10-19 2.099100 2.471371 2.963458 3.702734 4.880720 6.936205 11.856398
2025-10-26 2.071384 2.460532 2.984867 3.794045 5.137715 7.649245 14.628183
2025-11-02 2.016570 2.409527 2.945783 3.788582 5.228963 8.060357 16.949865
2025-11-09 1.924130 2.302795 2.821369 3.640540 5.052015 7.867565 17.049353
2025-11-16 1.847171 2.219845 2.734848 3.559153 5.010120 8.020099 18.951903
2025-11-23 1.791358 2.164271 2.685676 3.534771 5.072739 8.441906 22.913157
2025-11-30 1.727258 2.094403 2.611870 3.464690 5.040911 8.634665 26.386845
2025-12-07 1.665503 2.025386 2.535890 3.385433 4.981896 8.747201 29.988684
2025-12-14 1.606789 1.958485 2.459938 3.300929 4.902770 8.788741 33.582057
2025-12-21 1.574456 1.927969 2.437248 3.304999 5.004634 9.385059 47.787841
2025-12-28 1.578613 1.949925 2.495419 3.453748 5.438492 11.266603 202.313313
2026-01-04 1.556405 1.932179 2.490570 3.489586 5.631106 12.498144 NaN
2026-01-11 1.533192 1.911876 2.480365 3.514375 5.803145 13.817557 NaN
2026-01-18 1.523110 1.910587 2.500260 3.597108 6.136456 16.312532 NaN
2026-01-25 1.496300 1.882966 2.475776 3.592152 6.243294 17.793961 NaN